- The coronavirus is a tragedy. But we have to look forward and the stock market is always attempting to discount the future. It's been an extremely difficult month for investment markets and today the US stock market was down about 11%, or about 30% below the high last month. I was standing next to the trading room on Black Monday (which was still the worst day for the US stock market on a percentage basis), I was getting ready to go to the airport on 9/11, and I have also written extensively about the global financial crisis. So I've seen panic and learned from those experiences. All those experiences are screaming out, that this is now turning into an investment opportunity, and there is going to be a major recovery. Have we hit bottom? Maybe - maybe not. But there are now so many good values in investment markets, that I think current buyers are going to be happy three months and three years from now. Selling long term investments that have dropped sharply is the opposite of a logical rebalancing strategy. I wouldn't advise huge moves, but history and the projected short-term impact of this crisis/health tragedy imply it will be beneficial to buy undervalued assets in times like this.
- Most investors have historically bought and sold at the wrong times, and I summarized that history in Chapter 11 (Bad Timing & Performance Gaps) of my book The Peaceful Investor. In chapter 26) I echo the statements of several others that crisis = opportunity (I was also highly skeptical of crypto-currencies). I've posted those two chapters and several others online.
- I've posted a page with links to Coronavirus resources, along with some of my thoughts. There are some excellent websites for keeping updated and learning more about this virus and how it is impacting the world. Many cite the Johns Hopkins Map, but Worldometer's Updates are also interesting and this Singapore website is particularly noteworthy for its content and transparency.
- I'm honored to be collaborating with former WSJ columnist Jonathan Clements at his site HumbleDollar. See my article Performance comes and goes, but costs roll on forever (the title is from Jack Bogle).
- At the end of last year, my daughter was binge watching Friends before its run on Netflix came to an end. One of the classic episodes featured a classic Phoebe quote "They don't know that we know they know we know." It reminds me of what is going on with risk factors/market anomalies and in particular value stock investing. Check out my post Who Knows?
- I mention cryptocurrencies in chapters eight and 27 of my book The Peaceful Investor, but I wanted to go into a little more depth about cryptocurrencies, so I've posted a few pages including Reasons to Buy Cryptocurrencies, My Bitcoin related purchase, and a page about Cybercash.
- I'm pleased to finally announce that my book "The Peaceful Investor" is available at Amazon. The web site for the book is Peacefulinvestor.com and I've made about half the book including the first ten chapters available online at http://investorhome.com/peaceful-investor/. Many of the online chapters include additional graphics and material, and I've posted all of the notes and links for the whole book, so those that buy the book can easily access all the references and material.
- I've been reviewing investment books since 1996 when I originally signed up with Amazon's Associate program. In a new post (and video) about The Top Five Investment Books That I Recommend, I summarize what I consider to be the best overall investment books and discuss how the investment industry has evolved since many of the classics were first published. I also discuss (in the 2nd part of the video) how The Peaceful Investor expands on the primary lessons from those books and weaves in recent developments in investment products and services.
- In 1997 I started blogging about the battle between Vanguard and Fidelity for the largest mutual fund. In 2000 Vanguard's index fund took that title from Magellan. Since then passive management and index funds have continued to expand and increase their market share relative to active managers and funds. In the new post (and video) I discuss Why Index Funds are Killing Active Funds.
- Freebies, Falling Fees, and Fines & what do icebergs have to do with investing? is another new post discussing some recent developments in the investment business, like free trading at the major discount brokers, a fine for the firm that started the free trading wave, falling costs at some of the biggest fund companies, and the big picture of investment costs.
- I was a little too optimistic last year about when I would be updating this web site (OK, maybe a lot). It's taken longer than I expected to complete the book that I have been working on for many years. As a result, I neglected updating this site as frequently as I should have. But now that I am nearly finished with the book, its time to update and refresh InvestorHome.
- Jack Bogle passed away on January 16, 2019. There have been many, many tributes, but I wanted to add my thoughts on the enormous impact Bogle had. I've created a few pages with links to many of the articles and commentary, as well videos, audio interviews, and quotes about Bogle. See Tributes to Jack Bogle and Jack Bogle's Legacy. I had been planning to modernize the site, but Bogle preached simple and cheap, so at least for now, I'm keeping everything in simple html.
- Last year, NYU, MIT, and the CFA Institute held a conference focusing on the 10-year anniversary of the Global Financial Crisis. At this link on the CFA website you can watch the many sessions. I was intrigued by Antoinette Schoar's 21 minute presentation and Andrew Lo's 15 minute intro should be particularly interesting for those following these crisis narratives
- Crisis was all about subprime mortgage lending
- Policy and lower lending standards were at fault
- Bankers didn't have enough skin in the game
- No one saw this coming
- Devotion to market efficiency caused the crisis
- Changes in SEC regulation allowed huge increases in leverage
- 2019 has been a good year for investors so far, but 2018 was a disappointing year for most investors. Stock indexes dropped and most bond funds generally had losses as interest rates rose. Investing in the S&P 500 resulted in a more than -4% loss, while US equity mutual funds were even weaker, and international stock funds generally had even larger losses (see Morningstar's Data). In other words, most investors had negative returns for the year from their investments, plus their costs added to those losses. I'll be elaborating on that in my forthcoming book.
- Wishing everyone a happy, healthy, and peaceful 2018. I plan to update much of the site and add some new features over the next few months, so feel free to check back here every once in awhile or follow me on Twitter.
- 2017 was another good year for most investors. Stocks did better than most expected with international stocks and emerging market indexes in particular outperformed U.S. stocks. Despite the expected increases in interest rates by the Federal Reserve, the 10-year Treasury note interest rate actually ended the year at 2.409%, down from 2.446% at the end of 2016 (per the WSJ).
Last update 3/16/2020. Copyright © 1996-2020 Investor Home. All rights reserved. Disclaimer