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Prognostications below are "For entertainment purposes only. Do not take seriously." Source
2024 projections 2023, 2022, 2020, AAII Sentiment, and Hulbert's links
Bullish Bearish
Recent Bulls include Ed Yardeni (S&P 6000, 5200), Jeremy Siegel (5000), & UBS (for the 1st half of 2022). Recent Bears include BCA, Ed Butowsky, BofA and Eric Hickman.
On April 8, 2021 Jeremy Siegel suggested the stock market could go up 30% before this boom ends (on CNBC). On June 15, 2021 Michael Burry regarding "markets" Tweeted "Greatest Speculative Bubble of All Time in All Things" (or here). On April 30, 2021 Leon Cooperman suggested the stock market (S&P500 4211) would be lower one year later (on CNBC).
Jeff Saut thought "the lows are probably in" on CNBC (3/10/2020) Nouriel Roubini expects global equities to tank by 30-40% (3/1/2020)
Yahoo Finance (1/2/2020 predictions) cited 23 S&P price targets for 2020 ranging from 3000 to 3600 (12/19/2019). See also CNBC survey (12/14/2019). Morgan Stanley, UBS, and Stifel were forecasting that the S&P 500 would fall in 2020 according to Wall Street’s Official 2020 Stock Prediction posted at NASDAQ.com (12/2/2019)
Goldman Sachs introduced a year-end 2020 price target of 3400 for the S&P 500 (7/30/2019) John Higgins forecasted a 15% drop in the S&P500 (8/5/2019)
Wall Street strategists expect the S&P 500 to end 2019 above 3000 per CNBC (12/17/2018) and Bloomberg (12/1/2018) Ron Paul is "projecting a 50 percent decline from current levels as his base case" via CNBC (12/14/2018)
Wall Street Investment Bank 2018 predictions Brad McMillan suggested the market probably would have to drop somewhere between 30-40% to get to fair value (9/18/2017)
Adam Parker upped his 12-month price target on the S&P 500 to 2,300 (9/6/2016) David Tice warned on CNBC of a deep correction that will send stocks down by as much as 50 percent. (5/6/2017)
Ed Yardeni projected 2300 for the S&P 500 in 2015 (1/13/2015) and projected 3100 in 2018 (12/17/2017) and 2019 (8/10/2019) Felix Zulauf is looking for US stocks to correct by 15% in the first half of 2015 via Barrons (1/26/2015)
Brian Belski suggested we could have another 10 years in this bull market targeting 44,000 on the DJIA (6/24/2014) Walter Zimmerman sees (via WSJ) the S&P 500 eventually bottoming as low as 450 (1/3/2014)
Craig Johnson says via USAT 2,000 on the S&P 500 in 2014 is do-able (8/2/2013), updated to 2,100 by year-end (1/10/2014) Peter Boockvar predicted (via WSJ) the S&P 500 could finish 2014 between 1550 and 1600 (1/2/2014)
Ron Baron predicts on CNBC the DJIA Will Hit 60,000 in 20 Years (7/8/2013) Tom Fitzpatrick expects the Dow to drop 20% via CNBC (1/17/2013)
Thomas Lee says the DJIA could peak as high as 20,000 within 4 years on CNBC (1/28/2013) (6/24/2017 update) Marc Faber expects the market to drop 20% via Bloomberg (11/7/2012) and CNBC (11/13/2012)
Jeremy Siegel makes The Case for Dow 17,000 in Kiplingers (Dec 2012) (12/31/2013, 7/2/2014, 12/30/14, 11/21/2017 updates) Walter Zimmerman has a downside S&P 500 target around 580 via WSJ (12/27/2011)
Richard Sylla projects that DJIA could climb to 20250 (S&P500 2300) by the end of 2020 via WSJ (9/12/2011) Bob Janjuah says 2012 could see the S&P 500 all the way down to the 700 range via CNBC (10/6/2011) (bullish 4/18/2012)
Darryl Guppy was bullish on 11/8/2011 after accurately targeting the DJIA down to 10,600 CNBC (8/4/2011) (3/4/2013 update) Russell Napier warns that S&P 500 could drop to 400 from FT (5/16/2011)
James Altucher expects 20,000 on the Dow in 12-18 months (6/2/2011) (3/14/2014 update) Harry Dent sees Major Crash for Stocks (3/31/2011) (9/12/2011 (DJIA 3000 in 2013), 11/8/12, 10/3/12, 1/8/13, 8/20/14 updates)
Jeffrey Hirsch projects 38,820 on the DJIA by 2025 in Super Boom (4/5/2011) Abigail Doolittle projected a 36 month target of 425 on the S&P 500 (3/1/2011, or 3/8/2011 CNBC)
Laszlo Birinyi - S&P 500 may rally to 2,854 by 9/4/13 via Businessweek (1/4/10) (3/23/11, 1/25/13, 9/13/13, 1/10/14, 2/10/14 updates) Jeremy Grantham says be in cash (11/11/2010) - 29 minute CNBC video (11/29/2011, 11/18/2014 updates)
Roger Ibbotson predicted in I am a bull via Robert Lenzner in Forbes (6/16/97) the DJIA would hit 10,000 by year-end 2001, 34,000 by 2015 and 53,000 by 2020. Later he predicted 120,000 by 2025 (via Ibbotson's Dow Forecasts). Nouriel Roubini (co-author of Crisis Economics) - Presidency Headed for Fiscal Train Wreck (10/29/2010) in FT (5/11/11, 11/19/12, 9/23/13, 12/4/14 updates)
Bull Books Dow 36,000 (10/1/1999), Dow 40,000 (6/26/1999), Dow 100,000 (8/1/1999)
Bear Books Irrational Exuberance (3/15/2000), Riding the Bear (3/1/1999), The Bear Book (4/6/1998)
Robert Shiller was fairly neutral 12/31/2010 (via CNBC) with a 2020 Stocks Outlook guess of 1430,
but suggested reducing expectations more recently.
bull/bear debates 12/23/14, 2014 Predictions, 1/2/14, 11/8/12, Dow 20000 or 3000?,
2012 Predictions, 12/1/11, 08/21, 5/31, 4/18, 4/9, 3/9/2011

Last update 7/3/2024. Copyright © 1996-2024 Investor Home. All rights reserved.
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